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Gold: Gold: Timeless Stability, Future Security

Updated September 2024

NYSE:GOLD
$32.80-0.79%
Updated: May 02, 2025

Executive Summary

Investment Thesis

Investing in gold has long been regarded as a reliable strategy for preserving wealth and diversifying portfolios. Gold’s safety, liquidity, and intrinsic value make it a stable and attractive investment, particularly given the uncertain global geopolitical and macroeconomic landscape. The rise of digital and tokenized gold has transformed the market, making this precious metal more accessible than ever before.

Investment Thesis

Overview of buy and sell case of the business.

Why Invest?

Key pieces of information about the business that you need to know about.

Gold Market Reform

This is an incredibly exciting time to invest in gold. The market is experiencing a significant transformation as digitalisation and tokenisation of gold become a reality. The gold industry is working together on Gold247, an initiative from the industry-backed World Gold Council aimed at transforming the availability and liquidity of gold, making it easier to buy, sell, and hold gold at any time, from anywhere. In the coming years, the industry will focus on further improving the accessibility, liquidity, and security of the gold market.

Intrinsic Value

For more than 2,500 years, gold has served as a trusted currency, maintaining its enduring value. Despite radical changes to society, gold remains a universally recognised global asset. Gold is famous for being a ‘safe haven’ investment thanks to years of strong performance even during turbulent times. In our increasingly uncertain economic and geopolitical environment, investors and central banks have been turning to gold as a safe-haven asset.

Robust Demand

Several tailwinds are blowing in gold's favour, exciting commodity analysts and leading to bullish predictions for both price and demand. Demand for gold is underpinned by its diverse uses including for jewellery, investment, technology and by central banks. This diversity of gold demand and self-balancing nature of the gold market underpin gold’s robust qualities as an investment asset. Gold has surged more than 15% year-to-date, mostly on safe-haven demand amid the conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, as well as buying by central banks.

Catalysts

The key events that could drive investment opportunities and shift markets.

Near term
Interest rates, inflation, and currency fluctuations all significantly impact the demand for gold. When interest rates are low, the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases, making it more attractive to investors. During periods of high inflation, gold is often seen as a hedge against currency devaluation, leading to increased demand. Additionally, when the U.S. dollar weakens, gold becomes cheaper for foreign investors, further boosting demand as it is typically priced in dollars. Together, these factors drive the appeal of gold as a stable store of value in uncertain economic conditions.
Medium term
Thanks to the World Gold Council’s Gold247 initiative, investors are able to acquire fractional amounts of gold bullion via their smartphones, revitalising gold as a useable and fungible currency and generating new demand that will benefit price. Whilst this initiative is well underway, the integration of these platforms into the global financial ecosystem is still ongoing.
The creation and adoption of tokenised gold has also been growing, with several blockchain-based platforms offering gold-backed tokens. Wider market acceptance and more accommodating regulatory frameworks would contribute to the growth and modernisation of the industry.

In the past two years, central banks around the world have been on a gold buying spree. Continued demand from these institutions is vital for continued market growth over the next few years. According to the World Gold Council, around a quarter of central banks intend on continuing to increase their reserves in the next year.
Long term
Gold has long been viewed as a safe way of preserving capital as its seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that during times of geopolitical instability—such as conflicts, trade wars, or political uncertainty—investors tend to move their money into gold to protect their wealth.

Rising tensions between the U.S. and China, the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and the Israel-Hamas conflict are some of the key geopolitical risks that will continue to impact the gold market. Additionally, a wave of 2024 elections across the U.S., Europe, and other regions is set to increase policy uncertainty and impact global stability. Escalation of these conflicts, particularly in the Middle East, will likely drive up demand for gold as investors seek safety and stability.

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Investor Materials

Access the most recent investor updates published by the company.

Key Investor Materials

Central banks expect official sector demand to rise in the next year despite high gold prices

Article

Second quarter gold demand hits record highs, supporting rising prices

PDF

External Insights

A curated collection of third-party content relevant to the company and sector to help inform your investment decision.

Key investor materials

Central Banks

Why Central Banks Buy Gold

Article

In the past two years, central banks around the world have been on a gold buying spree. By Q3 2023, global central banks bought around 800 tonnes of this precious metal and now hold roughly a fifth of all the gold ever mined. According to the World Gold...

Research

Gold stockpiling in New York leads to London shortage

Wait to withdraw bullion from BoE rises sharply as fears of Trump tariffs drive shipments to US

Team

Meet the experienced professionals leading our organization

What the Pro's Are Asking

Here are the questions that professional investors are asking before making an investment decision.

What are the main drivers of demand for gold?

The World Gold Council’s Q2 2024 gold demand trends report reveals that total global gold demand increased 4% year-on-year to 1,258t - which was the highest Q2 demand on record.

Gold jewellery represents the largest source of annual demand for gold per sector. This has declined over recent decades, but it still accounts for around 50% of total gold demand. Investment in gold is another key driver, thanks to its unique properties as an asset class, reducing volatility and minimising losses during periods of market shock.

Central banks have been net buyers of gold, adding to their reserves as part of a strategy to diversify away from the US dollar and protect against geopolitical risks. Gold is also used as an industrial metal in a broad range of applications, but primarily in electronics for its excellent conductivity and resistance to corrosion, making it essential in components like connectors, switches, and circuit boards. Its conductive properties are also presenting exciting new opportunities in medicine, diagnostic testing kits and new nanotechnologies which are being trialled to tackle cancer.

What is the World Gold Council’s Gold247 initiative?

Gold 247 is the World Gold Council’s initiative aimed at transforming the availability and liquidity of gold, making it easier for investors, institutions, and consumers to buy and sell gold digitally. The new system would allow physical gold to change ownership as easily as digital currency, while providing buyers with transparency about where the gold originated. This will help the market to meet the challenges of today’s consumers and investors, particularly in relation to ESG issues.

When can I buy gold on my smartphone?

You can already buy gold on your smartphone. Companies such as GoldMoney and BullionVault allow users to purchase fractional amounts of gold, which are backed by physical gold stored in secure vaults. There are also platforms that allow users to buy, sell, and store gold using blockchain technology that creates tokenised gold, where each digital token is backed by a specific amount of physical gold. A modern asset, you can easily invest in gold online via apps or websites—meaning you can own gold as a way of saving for tomorrow without ever taking physical possession of it.

What returns can I expect from investing in gold?

It’s important to note that gold is generally viewed as a way to diversify a portfolio and hedge against risk rather than as a primary growth investment.

However, over the past few decades, gold has delivered an average annual return of around 6-8%. For example, from 1971 (when the U.S. left the gold standard) to 2020, gold's average annual return has been roughly 7.5%.

In the last 5 years, gold prices have been volatile but have seen positive returns, with an average growth rate of about 9-10% per year, driven by the global uncertainty caused by the pandemic and inflation concerns.

What are the challenges facing the gold industry?

The digitisation of gold is a relatively new concept, and is still subject to regulatory scrutiny, especially with regard to anti-money laundering (AML) and know-your-customer (KYC) requirements. There is therefore an ongoing adjustment period as the regulatory environment navigates unprecedented levels of accessibility, liquidity, and opportunity in the gold market. While digital gold products are gaining popularity, widespread adoption still faces challenges, including consumer education, market acceptance, and integration with traditional financial systems.

While progress has been made, challenges remain in fully integrating ESG standards across the supply chain. Artisanal and small-scale mining, which accounts for a significant portion of global gold production, often lacks proper ESG oversight and poses environmental and social risks, such as child labor and unsafe working conditions. However, the successful roll out of the Gold 247 initiative will help to combat many of these issues by tracking the provenance of gold with a digital system, meaning consumers can avoid gold associated with issues such as child labor or reckless environmental practices.