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Galaxy Digital: Bitcoin Miners Fuel AI Infrastructure

Galaxy bridges crypto-native expertise with surging AI infrastructure demand

Updated: Oct 21, 2025
Technology

Bull & Bear Case

An overview of the main reasons to invest and the key risks involved.

Bull Case

Dual-Engine Revenue Model

Trading volumes up 140% plus CoreWeave's $1 billion AI revenue commitment creates diversified income beyond crypto volatility.

Institutional-Grade Crypto Infrastructure

Serves more than 1500 counterparties managing $17 billion as institutional crypto adoption accelerates.

AI Infrastructure Scarcity Play

800MW Helios capacity captures premium pricing in constrained AI compute market.

Bear Case

Crypto Market Volatility Exposure

$2.1 billion digital asset treasury vulnerable to 50% crypto correction impacting earnings.

Data Center Construction Execution Risk

$1.7 billion Helios faces cost overruns amid labor shortages and 20-30% premium pricing.

Regulatory Framework Uncertainty

79% of crypto firms cite regulatory complexity while stablecoin restrictions threaten trading infrastructure.

Investment Thesis

Overview of buy and sell case of the business.

Why Invest?

Key pieces of information about the business that you need to know about.

Dual-Engine Revenue Model

Galaxy uniquely captures both explosive crypto trading growth (volumes up 140% quarter-over-quarter) and contracted AI infrastructure demand, with CoreWeave's $1 billion annual revenue commitment across 800MW Helios capacity creating diversified income streams beyond crypto volatility cycles.

Institutional-Grade Crypto Infrastructure

Galaxy serves 1,532 trading counterparties managing $17 billion assets on platform, positioning as the premier institutional gateway while crypto adoption accelerates with 86% of institutional investors now allocating to digital assets in 2025.

AI Infrastructure Scarcity

Galaxy's 800MW Helios campus addresses critical compute shortage in a $290 billion hyperscale data center market growing 7.47% annually, with AI power demand projected to surge from 4GW to 123GW by 2035.

Catalysts

The key events that could drive investment opportunities and shift markets.

Near term
  • Helios Revenue Recognition: Galaxy begins recognizing revenue from 133MW Phase I delivery to CoreWeave in first half 2026, generating estimated $100-150 million quarterly recurring revenue from AI data center operations, marking the transformation from pure-play crypto to diversified infrastructure provider with contracted revenue visibility.

  • Trading Momentum Continuation: Galaxy's digital asset trading volumes surged 140% quarter-over-quarter to all-time highs, including execution of $9 billion notional bitcoin sale (80,000+ bitcoin), positioning for continued outperformance as institutional crypto adoption accelerates through year-end Bitcoin ETF flows.

Medium term
  • GalaxyOne Platform Scaling: October 2025 launch of unified financial technology platform providing retail access to crypto, equities, and high-yield cash creates new revenue stream targeting $50+ trillion US retail wealth market, leveraging Galaxy's institutional infrastructure for mass market expansion.

  • Digital Asset Treasury Company Mandates: Galaxy's asset management secured over $4.5 billion in digital asset treasury mandates generating $40+ million annual recurring fees, with expansion opportunity as 172 public companies now hold Bitcoin treasuries valued at $117 billion growing 38% quarterly.

Long term
  • Phase II Helios Expansion Completion: CoreWeave's additional 260MW capacity delivers throughout 2027, bringing total committed load to 526MW and $1 billion anticipated annual revenue, providing stable cash flow diversification as crypto markets potentially enter volatility cycles through 2026-2027.

  • Multi-Gigawatt Helios Campus Expansion: Galaxy's strategic land acquisition expanded Helios to 1,500+ acres with 2.7GW additional power capacity under ERCOT study, creating potential for $10+ billion revenue opportunity and establishing Galaxy as dominant North American AI infrastructure provider.

Key Risks

Key pieces of information about the business risks that you need to know about.

Crypto Market Volatility Exposure

Galaxy maintains $2.1 billion in digital asset treasury positions across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and alternative tokens, creating substantial earnings volatility during crypto downturns. A 50% crypto market correction could severely impact quarterly results and balance sheet equity.

Data Center Construction Execution Risk

The $1.7 billion Helios Phase I development faces potential cost overruns and delivery delays amid industry-wide labor shortages, with specialized electrical trades requiring 20-30% premium pricing and 439,000 additional workers needed across North America.

Regulatory Framework Uncertainty

FSB reports highlight significant gaps and inconsistencies in global crypto regulation implementation, with 79% of crypto firms citing regulatory complexity as a top challenge while potential stablecoin restrictions could disrupt Galaxy's institutional trading infrastructure.