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Fermi America: Plugged In: Fermi’s AI Advantage

Fermi merges clean power and compute to fuel the AI era with faster, cheaper, and more reliable energy.

Updated: Nov 03, 2025
Energy & Materials

Bull & Bear Case

An overview of the main reasons to invest and the key risks involved.

Bull Case

Addressing AI’s Power Constraint

Fermi tackles AI’s power bottleneck through a 11 GW Texas campus with scalable, low-cost, and reliable energy.

Experienced Leadership and Strategic Backing

Founded by experts with backing from industry powerhouses, Fermi combines deep policy access with capital strength, and execution expertise.

Commercial Model and Financial Structure

A hybrid REIT combining power generation and compute leasing, offering predictable cash flow, scalability, and exposure to accelerating AI-driven infrastructure growth.

Bear Case

Execution Risk

Fermi's buildout demands precise timing; delays in turbines, site works, or onboarding push revenues, inflate costs, requiring exceptional multi-contractor coordination.

Regulatory and Nuclear Risk

Long-term nuclear plans require extensive NRC approvals; regulatory shifts, politics, or safety reviews could extend timelines, raise costs, slow decarbonisation.

Tenant Concentration

Early revenues hinge on one anchor tenant; delays, downsizing, or price concessions risk underutilised capacity, slipping timelines, and weaker leasing.

Executive Summary

Fermi is a U.S. energy and infrastructure developer building large-scale, low-cost power generation and data-centre platforms for the AI economy. Its integrated model combines firm, on-site energy with hyperscale compute capacity, beginning with the 11 GW Project Matador in Texas and positioned for expansion across key U.S. markets. By controlling power, land, and connectivity, Fermi delivers reliable capacity insulated from grid constraints and designed for scalability as AI-driven energy demand accelerates.

Led by an experienced energy and infrastructure team, the company is executing a focused strategy to commercialise its first site, expand generation capacity, and build a replicable platform for long-term growth. Its structure supports recurring, inflation-linked revenue through a combination of power sales and compute leasing. With proven execution capability and exposure to one of the fastest-growing segments of the global economy, Fermi offers a compelling model of resilience and scale.

Investment Thesis

Overview of buy and sell case of the business.

Why Invest?

Key pieces of information about the business that you need to know about.

Addressing AI’s Power Constraint

Fermi is positioned at the centre of one of the defining challenges of the AI and data-centre boom: the need for vast, reliable power. Its Texas campus sits adjacent to major natural-gas pipelines and solar corridors, securing access to abundant, low-cost energy. With over 11 GW of firm generation already contracted and nuclear expansion planned later this decade, Fermi offers investors an unbeatable opportunity to capture long-term exposure to energy security, scalability, and transformative infrastructure growth.

Experienced Leadership and Strategic Backing

Founded by Toby Neugebauer and former U.S. Energy Secretary Rick Perry, Fermi combines decades of large-scale energy-development experience with exceptional policy access and financial reach. Strategic partnerships with Macquarie, Hyundai Engineering, and Westinghouse provide capital strength, engineering capability, and forward-looking nuclear expertise. This combination of institutional depth and entrepreneurial execution positions Fermi as a credible first mover at the intersection of energy and advanced computing where scale, timing, and delivery matter most.

Commercial Model and Financial Structure

Fermi’s hybrid REIT structure unites power generation with long-term leasing of compute infrastructure, creating a platform built for durability and yield. Revenues are underpinned by recurring leases and inflation-linked energy contracts, providing visibility and upside as capacity scales. The REIT model enhances capital efficiency, supports dividend distribution, and aligns with rising investor demand for high-yield infrastructure exposure. As AI energy requirements accelerate globally, Fermi stands out as a strategically timed, high-conviction investment in the backbone of the digital economy.

Catalysts

The key events that could drive investment opportunities and shift markets.

Near term

Hit Phase 1 Targets: Completing Phase 1 on schedule is the first major catalyst. Installing initial turbines, energising substations, and delivering the first powered shells moves Fermi from developer to operator. As power and capacity come online, lease revenue begins, construction risk falls, and investors can track tangible progress against public milestones. Each acceptance test and meter turn adds credibility, supporting better financing terms and a potential valuation rerating as the business demonstrates cash generation.

Medium term

Expand Tenant Base: Broadening the tenant base beyond the first anchor is a key growth step. Signing additional hyperscalers and AI operators across powered shell and turnkey options lifts contracted capacity and strengthens cash flow visibility. A diversified mix reduces reliance on any single customer, improves credit quality of receivables, and lengthens weighted average lease term. More tenants also enable staged capacity additions that match demand, helping sustain utilisation and support progressive margin improvement as the campus scales.

Long term

Bring Nuclear Power Online: Bringing nuclear units online is the structural catalyst that shifts Fermi from gas backed power to round the clock, low carbon baseload. Progressing licensing, site works, and first concrete leads to commissioning of initial reactors, followed by a fleet build. Nuclear adds long asset life, stable fuel costs, and higher availability, which can support premium long term contracts. Success here would widen Fermi's moat and materially expand capacity for energy intensive AI workloads.

Key Risks

Key pieces of information about the business risks that you need to know about.

Execution Risk

Fermi's ambitious buildout depends on hitting tight construction and equipment-delivery timelines. Delays in turbine installation, site preparation, or tenant onboarding could push back expected revenue and increase costs. Large-scale infrastructure projects often face these hurdles so even with strong partners, Fermi's near-term progress will rely heavily on superb execution and coordination across multiple contractors and suppliers.

Regulatory and Nuclear Risk

Fermi's long-term strategy hinges on adding nuclear capacity in the 2030s, requiring multiple U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission approvals. Shifting regulations, political opposition, or safety-review delays could significantly extend timelines or increase compliance costs. While near-term operations rely on gas power, any prolonged licensing setback could slow the transition to low-carbon energy and reduce the appeal of Fermi's "clean-power" investment narrative.

Tenant Concentration

Early cash flows are expected to rely heavily on one anchor tenant moving from a letter of intent to a signed, staged deployment. If that tenant delays, scales back or seeks pricing concessions, capacity could sit under-utilised and revenue timing would slip. Concentration also increases exposure to a single customer's technology roadmap and budget cycle, which could change quickly in the fast-moving AI market and affect leasing momentum across the campus.

Follow the Experts

Quickly navigate key insights from industry experts and leverage their knowledge and market intelligence.

Nick Lawson profile

Nick Lawson

CEO, Ocean Wall Ltd

4.7K audience

Expert Insights

linkedin

"Fermi’s IPO is groundbreaking. It’s the first of its kind: a concurrent dual listing on Nasdaq and the London Stock Exchange."

Wajeeh Khan profile

Wajeeh Khan

Financial Reporter

1.5K audience

Expert Insights

article

"If execution matches ambition, FRMI could become a cornerstone of AI infrastructure"

Danny Naz profile

Danny Naz

Market Commentator

48.4K audience

Expert Insights

x

"Fermi America is a bet that the future of AI isn’t just code and chips... it’s electricity and concrete. If they pull it off, Amarillo could be the epicenter of AI’s energy empire."

Anna S Erickson profile

Anna S Erickson

Nuclear Engineer & Professor - Georgia Tech

861 audience

Expert Insights

linkedin

"Fermi isn’t pitching “baseload for the grid.” It is explicitly tying reactors to AI-ready, hyperscale campuses, exactly where Google, Amazon, and Microsoft are already signing nuclear offtake."

Investor Materials

Access the most recent investor updates published by the company.

Key Documents

Fermi secures natural gas pipeline connection for up to 11GW data center project in Amarillo, Texas

Article

Project Frontier - Final Prospectus

PDF

Fermi America™ Secures Firm Natural Gas Supply from Energy Transfer to Power Phase One of the HyperGrid™ Campus

PDF

External Insights

A curated collection of third-party content relevant to the company and sector to help inform your investment decision.

External Insights

Can US infrastructure keep up with the AI economy?

Article

The AI age is expected to require scaling data centers, grid capacity, and supply chains. Deloitte’s 2025 AI Infrastructure Survey examines gaps and solutions.

Team

Meet the experienced professionals leading our organization

Rick Perry - undefined

Rick Perry

What the Pro's Are Asking

Here are the questions that professional investors are asking before making an investment decision.

Can Fermi execute Phase 1 on schedule and within budget?

Yes, if procurement stays on track. Fermi already secured over 700 MW of turbines and EPC support from Hyundai Engineering, reducing supply risk. The company's leadership team has delivered multi-billion-dollar energy projects before, and milestones are well defined. Timely execution will confirm credibility, unlock tenant revenue, and underpin financing for later phases.

How will Fermi fund multi-billion-dollar expansion beyond IPO proceeds?

Fermi plans to combine project-level debt, tenant pre-payments, and potential joint-venture equity with infrastructure investors. The IPO proceeds fund early works and equipment deposits, while future tranches will likely be ring-fenced to individual assets. With Macquarie already involved, access to structured energy finance markets looks strong, limiting dilution and supporting multi-phase rollout capitalisation.

Who is the anchor tenant, and what will lease economics look like?

Fermi hasn't disclosed the tenant's name but describes it as an investment-grade AI or cloud operator. The proposed 20-year triple-net lease covers 11 GW of capacity with potential pre-payments amortised as rent credits. If finalised, this structure offers long-term cash visibility and validates Fermi's "power-plus-compute" model for additional hyperscaler tenants.

Can Fermi sustain an advantage over grid-reliant peers?

Yes, at least medium term. By owning generation, Fermi avoids congestion, transmission losses and escalating grid tariffs. Nearby pipelines and solar corridors guarantee firm, low-cost energy, while future nuclear ensures clean 24/7 baseload. Competitors must still queue for grid interconnections, giving Fermi a two- to three-year speed-to-power lead that should sustain pricing power.

What is the long-term opportunity once nuclear capacity comes online?

Once its AP1000 reactors begin commissioning in the 2030s, Fermi can supply constant, carbon-free power at predictable costs. This unlocks premium, long-duration contracts with hyperscalers and sovereign AI clients seeking energy independence. Nuclear integration could transform Fermi from an energy-enabled developer into a national clean-power platform with recurring revenue and infrastructure-grade valuation multiples.