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Crowdstrike: Built to Defend Against Agentic AI Threats

CrowdStrike protects companies as agentic AI, scams and deepfakes create new attack methods. Investors gain exposure to a platform built to secure both human and AI-driven identities.

Updated: Dec 09, 2025
Technology

Bull & Bear Case

An overview of the main reasons to invest and the key risks involved.

Bull Case

The One-Stop Shop Advantage

Companies increasingly prefer single security platforms over managing multiple separate tools

Artificial Intelligence Gets Smarter With Scale

AI system improves with each new customer, creating competitive advantages

Strong Financial Position

Excellent cash position and profitable growth model supports continued expansion

Bear Case

Stock Price Expects Perfection

Premium valuation vulnerable to any disappointment in growth or execution

Microsoft's Competitive Threat

Bundled security offerings could capture market share through pricing and convenience

Cybersecurity Talent Shortage

Industry-wide skills gap threatens innovation pace and operational execution

Investment Thesis

Overview of buy and sell case of the business.

Why Invest?

Key pieces of information about the business that you need to know about.

The One-Stop Shop Advantage

Companies are tired of managing security tools from dozens of vendors. It’s like having separate alarm systems for every room instead of one central system. CrowdStrike’s Falcon platform fixes this by putting everything in one place. Nearly half of customers now use six or more CrowdStrike services, a sign of rising platform adoption after another record quarter. Each added service makes it harder for customers to switch and increases how much revenue CrowdStrike earns from each account. The company keeps 80% of subscription revenue as profit, and Q3 results showed even stronger operating leverage as more customers consolidated onto Falcon Flex, highlighting how efficient cloud-based software can be.

Artificial Intelligence Gets Smarter With Scale

While competitors are trying to bolt AI onto old systems, CrowdStrike built its platform around machine learning from the start. The company’s AI system, Charlotte, processes massive amounts of data to spot threats human analysts might miss. This creates a snowball effect where every new customer makes the system smarter for everyone. As attacks grow more sophisticated, CrowdStrike’s global data network provides training information isolated tools can’t match. New AI automations launched in Q3 now handle work that once took analysts days, strengthening CrowdStrike’s role as the operating system of the modern SOC. Features that automatically investigate threats could reduce customer costs while improving protection.

Strong Financial Position

CrowdStrike maintains unusual financial strength for a fast-growing tech company. The company has $4.8 billion in cash with very little debt, giving it room for acquisitions or downturns without hurting shareholders. Management recently approved buying back $1 billion of stock, signaling confidence in the business. The company generated a record $296 million in free cash flow last quarter, proving it can turn growth into real cash, not just accounting profits. Stronger operating margins and consistent ARR acceleration reinforce CrowdStrike’s ability to scale efficiently, a key advantage in a crowded security market.

Catalysts

The key events that could drive investment opportunities and shift markets.

Near term
  • Government Contracts: Recent high-level government security approval opens federal contracting opportunities that could materially boost revenue growth.

  • Agentic AI Security Adoption: The rapid spread of agentic AI is creating new security needs for companies as automated agents interact with sensitive data and systems. CrowdStrike’s early move into agentic security, including Charlotte AI and automated SOC workflows, positions it to capture rising budgets as organisations look for tools that can protect both human and nonhuman identities. If customers accelerate AI adoption, demand for more advanced protection could lift long-term growth.

Medium term
  • Flexible Pricing Success: The new consumption-based pricing model showing early success could drive faster customer expansion and higher deal values as companies shift from per-seat to results-based security spending.

  • Identity Security Launch: New identity protection features targeting the growing zero-trust security market could capture significant additional revenue from existing customers.

  • Next-Gen SIEM Expansion: Next-Gen SIEM posted a record quarter and is now offered natively inside AWS Security Hub. This opens the product to millions of AWS users and could meaningfully accelerate adoption as customers test, expand, and eventually migrate from legacy SIEM tools.

Long term

International Growth: Geographic expansion remains relatively low outside North America, offering growth opportunities as global businesses adopt cloud-native security systems.

Key Risks

Key pieces of information about the business risks that you need to know about.

Stock Price Expects Perfection

Trading at 25 times annual sales, CrowdStrike's stock price assumes everything will go perfectly. The company's premium compared to other software companies reflects investor confidence but creates danger if quarterly results disappoint or future predictions weaken. High-growth stocks historically face severe price drops when business fundamentals weaken or market sentiment changes. Management must consistently exceed expectations while maintaining innovation pace, which becomes harder as the company gets bigger.

Microsoft's Competitive Threat

Microsoft's strategy of including security features with its existing business software poses a serious challenge to standalone security companies. Microsoft's vast customer relationships and pricing power could gradually shrink CrowdStrike's potential market, especially among cost-conscious businesses. While CrowdStrike currently has better technology, Microsoft's engineering resources and ability to integrate with other Microsoft products shouldn't be underestimated. This competitive battle resembles past fights where Microsoft eventually won through persistence and bundling advantages.

Cybersecurity Talent Shortage

The cybersecurity industry faces a severe shortage of skilled professionals, affecting every company in the space. CrowdStrike's growth plans make hiring particularly critical. Competition for experienced security experts drives up salary costs and could pressure profit margins. The company's ability to maintain its technological edge depends on attracting top engineering talent, which becomes harder as established tech giants expand their security teams. High employee turnover or recruitment failures could slow product development when competitive pressure increases.